Hispanics in the United States are divided equally between the Republican Party and the Democratic Party

 

According to a new study by the Wall Street Journal, the support of Spanish-speaking voters in the United States is  divided between Democrats and Republicans, writes .

Although the poll was conducted among an unusually small sample of 165 registered voters to reach their conclusions and has a margin of error of 7.6 percentage points, this is the latest piece of data in a worrying trend for Democrats. Over the years, the party has become dependent on the Latin American vote to win national and local elections and has acknowledged that its poor performance among the bloc is partly to blame for the 2020 defeats in key states such as Texas and Florida.

  According to the Wall Street Journal, 44% of Spanish speakers would vote for President Biden if the 2024 presidential election were held today, and 43% would vote for former President Trump.

The breakdown in support for Latinos ahead of the 2022 midterm congressional elections shows similar equality, with support for Democrats and the Republican Party at 37 percent each.

According to most Spanish-speaking polls, the WSJ poll found more support for Republicans and Trump among Latin American men than among Latin American women.

 But the WSJ study is indicative of its conclusions on overall support for the Republican Party, even taking into account the wide margin of error.

The WSJ report notes that statistical equality among Latin American voters would be a drastic change from the 2020 election, when Biden received 63 percent of Latin American votes, nearly 30 percentage points more than Trump.

 The small sample size and lack of cultural competence in opinion polls have long been a problem among Latin American political consultants, who say Latin American polls are often conducted among English-speaking, wealthier Hispanic voters.

The WSJ poll was conducted by ALG Research and Fabrizio, Lee & Associates, two well-known sociological agencies that signed a contract with the newspaper earlier this year to build an internal structure ahead of the 2022 by-elections.

The poll was conducted between November 16 and 22 among prominent, registered voters, half of their mobile phones, a quarter on landlines and a quarter through an online survey.

The full poll included 1,500 registered voters with a margin of error of plus or minus 2.5 percentage points.